Thursday, May 21, 2009

Buyers diving back in

Shortages of house stock is heating up competition up to about the $700 000 mark in Wellington. Good volumes of sales, but little comming on to replace those sales.


News out of the US sas the same, first home buyers & investors wading in. See http://bit.ly/16cPR3 . Arizona & Florida, bellweather states, getting recovering rates of sales, as people believe a bottom near. Back here, 6% interest rates mean many investors ( who were warned by the gloom mercants they were foolish, 2 yeas ago) have no need to sell. Rents firm.

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Why so few properties for sale?

In 20 years Ive seldom seen so little for sale! Far from a flood of pressured sellers, predicted 6 months ago by the gloom merchants ( ie most of the media) buyers are frustrated at how little choic they have, & there is a reasonable degree of competition for what there is. We have had 5 to 10 tenders on some properties recently sold.

I guess low interest rates help keep owners from distress. That with the fact that in Wellington rents are firm. Winter is slightly weaker as usual, but there is no sign of falling rents to match lower economic times.

Build costs are still stratospheric, underpinning values.

Immigration looks to be stonger, also firming the market.

Banks are keener to loan than 6 months ago, encouraging buyers.

And there is now a thought this is as bad as it will get, so why sell now?



Note: my analysis of the time to buy & sell has not changed: Do the opposite of whatever is the advice of the Listener & Sunday papers & you will be on the right track! The issue is at the moment...do they think its a good or bad time to sell or buy? I cant tell.

Monday, May 4, 2009

Great Seminar on Wednesday!

I went & saw the well regarded Graham Barr speak last week at the BNZ on Willis st, about selling houses or apartments in Wellington in the current market. ( It has changed fast this year. 5.6% mortgages have brought back buyers, especially since rents have not dropped one cent through these turbulant times).

Call me for free tickets to future events. Normally $25 each. These have been getting great feedback from attendees, & I learnt a number of good points myself!



Colin Kelly



021 439 727 or colinj.kelly@xtra.co.nz